ADF

Jerry Bowyer: The Kavanaugh Effect on the Upcoming Midterms


The long national nightmare surrounding the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court is over.

Democrats in the Senate, the media and protesters were unable to stop Kavanaugh—despite throwing everything but the kitchen sink at him.

The media narrative—initially—was that this catastrophe would energize Democrats in the mid-terms.

The problem with that narrative is that the data shows that the Republicans are even more energized than their Democratic counterparts.

Before Kavanaugh was confirmed, the political betting market PredictIt gave Republicans a 68 percent chance of keeping the Senate. Now they’re at 85 percent. In the House, GOP numbers went from 34 percent, up slightly to 36 percent.

The GOP may well gain seats in the Senate and could even possibly hold onto the House.